Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Picks & Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (56-48) and Brewers from Milwaukee (60-45) open a three-game set at American Family Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines from BetMGM Sportsbook around the Braves vs Brewers chances and make our expert MLB predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: First Meeting; Braves Won 5-1 Last Year

The Braves split four games at the New York Mets from Thursday through Sunday. They closed out the series with a 9-2 win as -101 underdogs while the Over (8.5) hit. Braves 1B Matt Olson home run for 2nd time in as many games, but All-Star RHP Reynaldo Lopez (forearm) was forced off the field after pitching 3 shutout innings.

The Brewers are coming off a 6-2 win as -203 home favorites against the Miami Marlins on Sunday with a total (8) that is increasing. Brewers 1B Jake Bauers hit a home run and a triple for Milwaukee, which went three games without being blown out by the Marlins.

Braves at Brewers projected starters

RHP Holmes Award versus RHP Colin Rea

Holmes (0-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his first start and 11th appearance. The 28-year-old rookie has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 23 1/3 innings.

• Final Outing: No decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in relief appearance of 9-4 home loss to Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday
• Away stats 2024: 0-0, 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 3.7 K/9 in 4 relief appearances
• Never played Brewers before

Rea (9-3, 3.60 ERA) is making his 18th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 110 innings.

• Last Start: No decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1-0 win at Chicago Cubs Tuesday
• Home stats 2024: 6-2, 3.70 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 10 appearances (9 starts)
• Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 5.09 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 3 starts, including 0-0 with 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going to the garden?? Here is a summary of today’s events best homerun props with our top picks. Including the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE receives a first bet of $1,500.

Braves vs. Brewers Odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for full listings. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:52pm ET.

• Money Line (ML): Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-210) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Braves at Brewers Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The BRAVE (+100) should be able to overcome their starting pitching disadvantage. They are coming off two straight wins over the Mets, outscoring New York 13-2. While their rookie starter has only made 10 relief appearances in the majors, he has nearly a decade of experience in the minors to draw on.

Milwaukee’s offense has struggled of late, especially since the loss of All-Star OF Christian Yelich (back) Tuesday. The Brewers have scored 3 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 6 outings and were nearly blown out in 3 games by the Marlins, the 2nd worst team in the National League.

BETTING BRAVES (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Atlanta +1.5 (-210) is too expensive to play, especially since the line has such a high hold.

PASSAGEInstead, bet on the ML and/or the total.

Over/Under

That total seems a bit high. Rea has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 4 of his last 5 outings, and Milwaukee’s offense has averaged just 2.67 runs in its last 6 games. Holmes might be expected to allow a lot of runs, given that he’s making his first MLB start, but he comes with a lot more experience than the average rookie pitcher.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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