New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 07/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024

Place: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The New York Yankees (60-44) are on their way to Fenway Park on Sunday, where they will play the Boston Red Sox (54-47). The men who will take the mound are Carlos Rodon and Tanner Houck.

As a unit, the Yankees have registered 149 two-baggers and have hit 149 baseballs out of the park. New York is batting .427 and has been scored on 836 times, while allowing 417 walks. As a team, the New York Yankees are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks fourth in the league. They have batted in 493 runs and collected 855 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is .247. They have allowed 513 total runs and have a team OBP of .331.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.61 so far this year (4th in the league) and their staff has struck out 906 hitters. Yankees pitchers have allowed 123 long balls to go along with 414 total runs (7th in MLB). They have walked 336 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a team for the season. New York has allowed 784 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) to go along with 372 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 69.2% and have entered the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 176 runners this year, 34.7% of which earned a run for their team. Yankees pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 114 times, along with 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 320 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 45 holds this season (25th in the league). They have collected 27 saves this season and have missed 12 of their 39 save opportunities.

The New York Yankees have 2,779 putouts on the season, as well as 833 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .983, which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs in 8,337 innings on the field, which ranks 4th in MLB.

Rodon has thrown 1,025 innings and earned 1,133 K’s during his career. Rodon (69-61 career record) has a FIP of 3.84 and has faced 4,337 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.90 (444 ER’s allowed) and his WHIP is 1.252. He has allowed 902 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 382 free passes.

Boston has 121 home runs on the campaign and 462 RBIs. They have 192 doubles, while drawing 316 walks and scoring 480 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .324 this year and a team batting average of .257. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .430 and are allowing 4.75 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been whistled 974 times (4th in the league) and have 897 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff has allowed 451 runs this season with a 3.81 ERA (384 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 111 dingers and are allowing 4.47 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.215 and a 3.83 FIP as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (874 strikeouts to 267 walks). They are 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 836.

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 32.7% out of 110 inherited baserunners. Their relievers have stepped to the mound 109 times in high-leverage situations and 83 times with baserunners on. In 92 save situations, the Red Sox have collected 47 holds to go along with 17 blown saves. They rank 21st in MLB with a save percentage of 60.5% and have sent 305 relievers onto the field for the season. Boston has called upon relief pitchers to enter the game in 43 save opportunities and have earned 26 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have allowed 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 882 assists, 74 errors, and have collected 2,725 putouts for the season. In 8,175 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in MLB).

To date in his MLB career, Houck has allowed 321 hits and collected 377 punch outs in 375 innings. He has allowed 145 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout-walk ratio of 3.09 and has faced 1,565 batters in his MLB career. Houck (23-25 ​​career win-loss mark) has an earned run average of 3.48 and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Choose Boston

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